● Spanish La Liga · 34เตะ 2 May 2026, 02:00

Girona พบ Mallorca พรีวิวและสกอร์ที่คาด

สร้างคำทำนายเมื่อ1 May 2026, 00:08อัปเดต9 May 2026, 03:33ตรวจผลเมื่อ9 May 2026, 12:01โมเดล3/3✕ ทายผิด

เจ้าบ้าน · #16/20

Girona

จบเกม

0 - 1

ผลคาดการณ์: GIRONA WIN

0/3 ตลาดที่ถูก

ทีมเยือน · #15/20

Mallorca

● ความเห็นพ้อง AI

2/3เห็นว่า Girona ชนะ

Girona ชนะ67% · GPT · Gemini

● เห็นต่าง (Kimi)33%

โมเดล AI ทั้ง 3 ว่าอย่างไร

เปรียบเทียบคำทำนายของแต่ละโมเดลพร้อมระดับความมั่นใจ ก่อนอ่านเหตุผลโดยละเอียดด้านล่าง

✓

GPT

GIRONA WIN

มั่นใจ 45%

✓

Gemini

GIRONA WIN

มั่นใจ 60%

✗

Kimi

MALLORCA WIN

มั่นใจ 60%

ผลงานล่าสุด

5 นัดล่าสุดของแต่ละทีม จากข้อมูลที่ AI ใช้พิจารณา

Girona4/15 แต้ม

26 Apr 2026@Valencia1-2L
22 Apr 2026vsReal Betis2-3L
11 Apr 2026@Real Madrid1-1D
7 Apr 2026vsVillarreal1-0W
22 Mar 2026@Osasuna0-1L

Mallorca7/15 แต้ม

26 Apr 2026@Alaves1-2L
22 Apr 2026vsValencia1-1D
13 Apr 2026vsRayo Vallecano3-0W
5 Apr 2026vsReal Madrid2-1W
22 Mar 2026@Elche1-2L

สรุปเหตุผลของ AI

Model Agreement Summary

Two of three models (GPT‑5.5 and Gemini 3 Flash) predict a home win and over 2.5 goals, while Kimi K2.6 backs an away win and under. GPT‑5.5 attaches only low confidence to the home and handicap calls but medium to the over; Gemini is medium across the board; Kimi is medium on all its selections. The handicap line is 0.5, so the home pick aligns with Girona ‑0.5.

Key Factors

Home advantage and tactical fit: Girona’s 4‑2‑3‑1 creates wide overloads against Mallorca’s narrow diamond. Arnau Martinez’s inverted movement will drag Mallorca’s midfield out of shape, opening spaces for Tsygankov and Ounahi. Despite a mixed recent run, Girona have quality home results – a win over Villarreal and a draw at Real Madrid – that outweigh the away losses.

Mallorca’s away frailties: The visitors have lost their last two on the road, conceding twice in each at Alaves and Elche. Even with Muriqi’s scoring form, they struggle to protect leads away from home. Their 2‑1 win over Real Madrid came at the Visit Mallorca Estadi, not on their travels.

Goal trends: Mallorca’s last five matches produced 14 goals (2.8 per game), with four overs. Girona’s recent home games have been split (one over, one under), but the visitors’ away matches consistently deliver at least three goals. The over 2.5 line is supported by the combined scoring profiles and the market odds (0.830).

Where Models Disagree

Kimi views the away price (3.750) as value and the under as a contrarian play, arguing Girona’s recent unders and Mallorca’s upward trajectory point to a low‑scoring away win. However, that relies heavily on Mallorca’s home victory over Madrid, while their poor away form is downplayed. The discrepancy in handicap confidence (two ‘home’, one ‘away’) mirrors the 1x2 split.

Final Consensus Verdict

The majority view is more grounded in the immediate data: Girona’s home tactical edge and Mallorca’s road defensive issues make a home win the most probable outcome, though not a high‑confidence one given Girona’s inconsistency. The handicap ‑0.5 covers this scenario. The over is preferred because both sides have the firepower to contribute to a 2‑1 type scoreline, a pattern that fits Mallorca’s away matches. While Kimi’s argument highlights some value, the weight of recent form and venue factors justifies siding with the consensus. Confidence remains medium on all three picks, balancing the models’ mixed confidence levels and the inherent volatility of a mid‑table La Liga fixture.

เหตุผลโดยละเอียดจากแต่ละโมเดล

คำตอบเต็มจากแต่ละ AI ที่อธิบายเส้นทางความคิด เริ่มจากเสียงข้างมาก ตามด้วยความเห็นต่าง

GPT

ทำนาย: Girona ชนะ

มั่นใจ 45%

Form and goal profile

Girona are a narrow home pick, but not a strong one. Their last five league matches show 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, or Home side: 1.0 goals scored/match vs 1.4 conceded. Mallorca’s recent form is more productive overall, with 8 scored and 6 conceded across five, or Away side: 1.6 goals scored/match vs 1.2 conceded. However, the split that matters most here is venue: Mallorca’s last two away matches were both 2-1 defeats, at Alaves and Elche, meaning they conceded 2.0 goals per away match in that sample. Girona’s last two home matches produced a 1-0 win over Villarreal and a 3-2 loss to Real Betis, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Market view versus data

The home price is short given Girona’s W1-D1-L3 run, so confidence stays low. Still, Mallorca’s away pattern is the deciding factor: they score, but they have not protected results on the road. Girona also drew 1-1 at Real Madrid recently and beat Villarreal at home, which is better quality resistance than the raw five-match record suggests.

Players and scoring expectation

Mallorca have the strongest individual scorer: Vedat Muriqi has 16 goals and 1 assist in 32 apps, far ahead of Girona’s top scorers Viktor Tsygankov and Vladyslav Vanat, both on 6 goals. Samuel Almeida Costa adds 6 goals and 2 assists, while Pablo Torre has 3 goals and 3 assists. Girona’s support comes from Azzedine Ounahi with 4 goals and 2 assists and Arnau Martinez with 1 goal and 2 assists. With Mallorca scoring in all five recent matches and Girona conceding in four of five, the over 2.5 is supported by the empirical totals: Mallorca have had four of their last five games finish with at least three goals, while the combined recent average is 2.6 total goals per match. The projected pattern is Girona edging a 2-1 type game.

ปัจจัยหลัก

Form and goal profile Girona are a narrow home pick, but not a strong one.
Their last five league matches show 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, or Home side: 1.0 goals scored/match vs 1.4 conceded .
Mallorca’s recent form is more productive overall, with 8 scored and 6 conceded across five, or Away side: 1.6 goals scored/match vs 1.2 conceded .
However, the split that matters most here is venue: Mallorca’s last two away matches were both 2-1 defeats, at Alaves and Elche, meaning they conceded 2.0 goals per away match in that sample.

Gemini

ทำนาย: Girona ชนะ

มั่นใจ 60%

Tactical Matchup: Width vs. Central Density

This fixture presents a fascinating clash between Girona’s 4-2-3-1, which prioritizes wide overloads and positional fluidity, and Mallorca’s 4-3-12, a narrow diamond system designed to dominate the central corridor. Girona’s primary tactical edge lies in their full-back involvement. Arnau Martinez (rating 102.6) acts as an inverted playmaker, creating a box-midfield in possession that will force Mallorca’s narrow midfield trio (Mascarell, Morlanes, and Costa) to stretch horizontally. When Mallorca’s shuttlers are pulled wide to cover Girona’s wingers like Tsygankov, it leaves gaps in the ‘Zone 14’ area for Azzedine Ounahi to exploit.

The Muriqi Factor and Defensive Transitions

Mallorca’s threat is concentrated in Vedat Muriqi (16 goals), who thrives on direct verticality. While Mallorca’s 4-3-12 allows for two strikers to pin Girona’s center-backs, Girona has the veteran Axel Witsel to organize the backline. Witsel’s reading of the game is crucial against Muriqi’s aerial dominance. However, Girona has shown defensive fragility recently, conceding 5 goals in their last two matches. Mallorca’s tendency to play direct to Muriqi and look for second balls from Pablo Torre will test Girona’s transition defense, which often leaves large spaces behind their high-pressing line.

Home Advantage and Style Synergy

Despite Girona's recent dip in form, their stylistic matchup at home favors them. Mallorca’s narrow diamond lacks natural wingers, meaning Girona’s wing-backs and wide attackers will have constant 1v1 opportunities against Mallorca’s full-backs. If Girona can maintain a high tempo, they will eventually bypass the central congestion. Given both teams' recent trends—Girona’s high-scoring losses and Mallorca’s ability to find the net against top sides like Real Madrid—an Over 2.5 outcome is likely. Girona's superior technical quality in the final third, led by Tsygankov, should see them edge a narrow victory in a high-energy encounter.

ปัจจัยหลัก

Tactical Matchup: Width vs.
Girona’s primary tactical edge lies in their full-back involvement .
Arnau Martinez (rating 102.6) acts as an inverted playmaker, creating a box-midfield in possession that will force Mallorca’s narrow midfield trio (Mascarell, Morlanes, and Costa) to stretch horizontally.
When Mallorca’s shuttlers are pulled wide to cover Girona’s wingers like Tsygankov, it leaves gaps in the ‘Zone 14’ area for Azzedine Ounahi to exploit.

Kimi

ทำนาย: Mallorca ชนะ

มั่นใจ 60%

Market Mispricing & Contrarian Angle

The 1x2 market quotes Girona at 2.000, Draw 3.500, and Mallorca at 3.750. After removing the overround, the implied probabilities normalize to roughly 47.5% home, 27% draw, and only 25.3% away. That prices Mallorca as a heavy underdog, which is a gross overreaction to venue and outdated reputation.

Form & Momentum

Girona enters with one win in five, scoring just five goals while leaking seven. Their home performances include a 2-3 defeat to Real Betis and a narrow 1-0 win over Villarreal—hardly the dominance of a 47% favorite. Meanwhile, Mallorca arrive fresh off a 2-1 victory over Real Madrid and a 3-0 rout of Rayo Vallecano. Vedat Muriqi has 16 goals this season and offers a focal point that Girona's backline has struggled to contain.

Value Selections

The crowd will chase Girona's home status and Mallorca's handicap safety, but the fat price on the away win is where the edge lives:

1x2 Away (3.750): Mallorca's true win probability is closer to 32–35% given current form, making the 25.3% implied price a clear value play.
Handicap Away +0.5: Even if Girona's home support drags out a draw, the +0.5 line provides cover, and the market has not fully adjusted Mallorca's upward trajectory after toppling Madrid.
Under 2.5: Public money has smashed the Over to 0.830 off recency bias from Mallorca's 3-0. Yet Girona's last five feature three unders (1-0, 1-0, 1-1), suggesting a cagey, tactical affair where Muriqi may find one moment rather than a shootout.

ปัจจัยหลัก

Market Mispricing & Contrarian Angle The 1x2 market quotes Girona at 2.000 , Draw 3.500 , and Mallorca at 3.750 .
After removing the overround, the implied probabilities normalize to roughly 47.5% home , 27% draw , and only 25.3% away .
That prices Mallorca as a heavy underdog, which is a gross overreaction to venue and outdated reputation.
Form & Momentum Girona enters with one win in five , scoring just five goals while leaking seven.

ผู้เล่นที่น่าจับตา

สถิติฤดูกาลของผู้เล่นที่น่าจะมีผลต่อเกม

Girona

Viktor Tsygankov

G6A4RTG93.59

Vladyslav Vanat

G6A1RTG87.44

Azzedine Ounahi

G4A2RTG67.67

Thomas Lemar

G3A1RTG74.99

Joel Roca Casals

G3A1RTG86.3

Axel Witsel

G1A2RTG89.08

Francisco Beltran

G1A0RTG39.47

Arnau Martinez

G1A2RTG102.6

Mallorca

Vedat Muriqi

G16A1RTG113.01

Samuel Almeida Costa

G6A2RTG102.03

Pablo Torre

G3A3RTG96.47

Manuel Morlanes

G2A0RTG86.72

Mateo Joseph

G2A3RTG93.73

Jan Virgili

G2A4RTG86.43

Omar Mascarell Gonzalez

G1A2RTG85.31

Takuma Asano

G1A0RTG51.79